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GI

Gentherm Inc (THRM)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered product revenues of $375.1M (+3.2% q/q, -0.2% y/y) with adjusted EBITDA margin at 12.2% (vs 11.1% in Q1), and GAAP diluted EPS of $0.02 impacted by $18.9M net unrealized FX losses; adjusted diluted EPS was $0.54 .
  • Against S&P Global consensus, revenue was a clear beat ($375.1M vs $363.4M*), while EPS modestly missed ($0.54 vs $0.582*); EBITDA was slightly above consensus on an adjusted basis though consensus tracks EBITDA differently* .
  • Full-year guidance narrowed: product revenue range lifted at the midpoint ($1.43B–$1.5B), adjusted EBITDA margin range tightened to 11.7%–12.5%, and capex reduced to $55M–$65M .
  • Commercial momentum remains robust: $620M of new automotive awards in Q2 (>$1B YTD), including full comfort solutions across Ford’s next-gen F-Series; liquidity rose to $416M; net leverage ~0.5x; $10M buyback executed .
  • Near-term stock catalysts: revenue beat and raised midpoint, Ford F-Series content win, and Q4 margin expansion focus; watch FX volatility and tariff recovery timing (≈15 bps margin headwind) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Secured $620M of new awards in Q2 (>$1B YTD), highlighted by Ford’s next-gen F-Series platform; “full comfort solution provider” content spanning heat, ventilation, lumbar, and massage across F-150/F-250/F-350 .
  • Automotive Climate and Comfort Solutions (A&CS) revenue +3.8% y/y (or +2.5% ex-FX), outperforming S&P Global’s LV production by 10 bps in relevant markets; strength in North America/Europe .
  • Strategic adjacency wins (commercial vehicles thermal solutions; valves in power sports) and China mix shifting toward domestic OEMs; “launch of steering wheel heat with hands-on detection” at Xiaomi and Ram 1500 thermal control unit .

Management quote: “We secured all of the heat, ventilation, lumbar, and massage systems on Ford's next generation F-150, F-250, and F-350 platforms, making us the full comfort solution provider on one of the most significant platforms in the market.”

What Went Wrong

  • Gross margin fell 180 bps y/y to 23.9% due to higher material costs (unfavorable mix), higher labor, and footprint realignment expenses; adjusted EBITDA margin declined y/y to 12.2% .
  • GAAP net income dropped to $0.5M (from $18.9M y/y) driven by net unrealized FX losses of $18.9M; GAAP diluted EPS $0.02 vs $0.60 y/y .
  • Asia weighed on performance; underexposure to China domestic OEMs (being addressed), while tariff pass-through timing and dilution added ~15 bps headwind to margins .

Financial Results

Quarterly Performance vs Prior Periods and Estimates

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Product Revenues ($USD Millions)$352.914 $353.854 $375.090
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.49 $(0.00) $0.02
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.29 $0.51 $0.54
Gross Margin (%)24.4% 24.4% 23.9%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$41.374 $39.341 $45.897
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)11.7% 11.1% 12.2%
Net Income Margin (%)4.3% (0.0)% 0.1%

Results vs S&P Global Consensus (Selected)

MetricConsensus (Q2 2025)Actual (Q2 2025)Result
Product Revenues ($USD)$363,425,200*$375,090,000 Beat
Primary EPS ($)$0.58236*$0.54 Miss
EBITDA ($USD)$43,192,000*$45,897,000 (Adjusted) Above adjusted

Counts: EPS estimates = 5*, Revenue estimates = 5*.

Segment and Product Category Breakdown (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)

Category ($USD Thousands)Q2 2025Q2 2024YoY %
Climate Control Seats$200,020 $199,766 0.1%
Lumbar & Massage Comfort Solutions$52,530 $45,869 14.5%
Climate Control Interiors$49,585 $47,031 5.4%
Climate & Comfort Electronics$5,906 $4,157 42.1%
Automotive Climate & Comfort Solutions$308,041 $296,823 3.8%
Valve Systems$25,143 $29,267 (14.1)%
Other Automotive$30,668 $37,912 (19.1)%
Subtotal Automotive$363,852 $364,002 (0.0)%
Medical$11,238 $11,681 (3.8)%
Total Company$375,090 $375,683 (0.2)%

KPIs

KPIQ2 2025
Automotive New Business Awards$620M
Liquidity$416.3M
Net Leverage~0.5x
Adjusted Operating Expenses$58.502M
Share Repurchases$10.0M

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Product RevenuesFY 2025$1.4B – $1.5B $1.43B – $1.5B Raised midpoint
Adjusted EBITDA MarginFY 202511.5% – 13% 11.7% – 12.5% Narrowed
Adjusted Effective Tax RateFY 202526% – 29% No change Maintained
Capital ExpendituresFY 2025$70M – $80M $55M – $65M Lowered

Management expects Q3 to be “roughly in line” with Q2 despite industry forecasts of a sequential LV production decline; margin improvement targeted for Q4 via operational initiatives .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024, Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Tariffs/macroMaintained FY25 guide with LV production decline; tariff mechanisms in place; limited net demand changes ~15 bps margin headwind from tariff pass-through timing/dilution; better clarity; Q3 to mirror Q2 Stabilizing assumptions; operational mitigation continues
China exposureStrategy to shift mix toward domestic OEMs; wins with Great Wall, Leapmotor 70% of China awards YTD with domestic OEMs; aiming ~60/40 global/domestic next year Improving alignment with market
Product performance (A&CS)A&CS revenue +1.7% y/y in Q4; +3.8% y/y in Q1; Lumbar/Massage growth strong A&CS +3.8% y/y; Lumbar/Massage +14.5% y/y; Pulsa.A traction with JLR/BMW Consistent outperformance vs LV production
Adjacent marketsEarly proof-of-concepts in medical; focus on scaling existing platforms Commercial vehicle thermal solutions; power sports valves; motion furniture pilots; Xiaomi steering wheel HOD launch Broadening end markets
Medical distributionN/AExpanded DUOMED partnership into France for temperature management portfolio Expansion in Europe
Footprint/operationsRealignment driving long-term margin expansion; Morocco facility shipment approvals Operational workshops; standardized processes; Q4 margin expansion expected operationally Execution focus intensifying

Management Commentary

  • “Our Automotive New Business Awards reached over $1 billion year-to-date... continued innovation, technology leadership, and strong customer relationships.”
  • “We secured all of the heat, ventilation, lumbar, and massage systems on Ford's next generation F-150, F-250, and F-350...”
  • “Automotive climate and comfort solutions outperformed actual light vehicle production... weighed down by Asia.”
  • “Pulsa.A... gaining traction... unmatched in the market; expect profitable incremental growth...”
  • “We have narrowed the adjusted EBITDA margin range to 11.7% - 12.5%... reduced capex to $55M - $65M...”

Q&A Highlights

  • Guidance cadence: Q3 expected similar to Q2; margin expansion targeted in Q4 via operational improvements rather than mix/vendor changes .
  • Ford F-Series award: Full comfort solutions portfolio; continuation of content from prior platform; sourced pre seat-supplier selection due to OEM-direct approach .
  • Adjacent markets: Power sports valves (single OEM across three platforms); commercial vehicle thermal solutions (heavy truck and last-mile van); motion furniture and two-wheelers in proof-of-concept .
  • China trajectory: Faster development cycles enable revenue within 6–18 months; target 60/40 global/domestic customer split next year .
  • Tariffs: ~15 bps headwind in Q2; recovery mechanisms functioning, timing disconnects remain the key margin driver .

Estimates Context

  • Revenue beat: Actual $375.1M vs $363.4M* consensus; reflects A&CS outperformance and FX tailwinds noted earlier in the year .
  • EPS miss: Adjusted diluted EPS $0.54 vs $0.582* consensus; GAAP EPS pressured by $18.9M net unrealized FX losses; margin headwinds from tariff timing/pass-through dilution (~15 bps) .
  • EBITDA: Adjusted EBITDA $45.9M vs $43.2M* consensus; note consensus tracks EBITDA and may not be strictly comparable to the company’s adjusted EBITDA definition .

Values retrieved from S&P Global*.

Where estimates may adjust: Raised revenue midpoint and steady Q3 outlook could lift revenue forecasts; continued FX volatility and tariff timing may temper margin/EPS estimates; management’s Q4 operational improvement focus may support H2 margin revisions .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue execution stronger than feared: clear beat vs consensus on Q2 revenues and raised FY midpoint; monitor sustainability amid industry LV production declines .
  • EPS pressured by FX volatility and tariff timing; adjusted margin recovery underway with Q4 targeted improvements—position sizing should consider near-term EPS variability .
  • Commercial momentum intact: $620M Q2 awards and Ford F-Series content reaffirms platform leadership; Pulsa.A traction indicates mix shift toward higher-value comfort solutions .
  • China strategy gaining traction: accelerated wins with domestic OEMs should reduce regional underperformance and improve growth visibility over 12–24 months .
  • Capex discipline and operational focus: capex cut to $55M–$65M and process standardization support FCF and margin expansion; attractive for medium-term thesis .
  • Liquidity and leverage provide flexibility: $416M liquidity and ~0.5x net leverage enable opportunistic capital allocation, including repurchases and M&A .
  • Trading setup: Near-term catalysts include investor confidence from revenue beat/guidance midpoint raise and Ford platform win; watch FX and tariff headlines for EPS swings .

Values retrieved from S&P Global* (consensus metrics and counts).